Sunday, November 29, 2009

Israel attacking Iran: Middle East at War

Would Israel attack Iran, then what would be the consequences?
Israel’s actions both in Lebanon and Gaza in recent years indicate a military force savagely trained to kill and destroy in parallel with brutality of Genghis Khan. Israel preemptively attacking Iran may be based on assumption that a reprisal by Iran would not be serious and of very short duration. In addition, the world opinion would be changed very rapidly to other issues. Israel’s past two attacks on Iraq and Syria would support this assumption.
Israel’s second assumption is that USA, France, and England will not let Israel to lose the war. Yes, Israel may attack Iran. But would USA join in and support Israel as she did for Sadam Hossein? What would be the consequence of this attack?
First of all it will unify the Iranian people in one voice against Israel and USA, count on it.
Second, the attack will not stop there; it will drag the entire region into an anti-American union against USA-England-France and Israel.
The attack will create a very powerful force of dedicated people with one purpose to remove Israel and USA from the region. The attack will be seen as a coordinated attack by USA using Israel as a surrogate.
The attack of Sadam Hossein on Iran consolidated Iranian and their government into a united force after1979 revolution. USA must think through the long term implication of a foolish attack on Iran before removing the leash from Israel. We have been at war in both Iraq and Afghanistan for about 7 years; count on a regional war for half-century. USA has been paying the price for our 1953 attack on the Iranian nation.
Is USA ready for the consequences of Israeli attack on Iran?

Iran, is not an "existential threat" to Israel now! But, Israel should consider the consequences of attacking Iran.

Saturday, November 21, 2009

Jerusalem: Israel and Palestines

Saint Michael Traveler

The issue of Jerusalem is complex and can not be decided by Israel or the United States. This city is religious holy city belonging to Jews, Muslims and Christians. This city should not be controlled by a theocratic Jewish state; in that case, it should be an open international city.

What are the options for the Arabs-Jewish region?

The two-state models for Palestine and Israel

Federal State of Israel-Palestine

The two-state models for Palestinian and Israeli is not working. Many experts on the Middle Eastern politics and people indicate that a two state solution in not viable model. We have struggled with it for nearly 60 years. The advocates for one-state solution stress that under a two-state solution, Jerusalem can not be the capital of Israel.

Practically the region is one State. Israel controls the entire region in air and on the ground. Non-Jewish residents are tolerated as less than second class inhabitants. Both Jewish and Palestinians have paid a high price for a failed two-state system; we have to consider the human side of the Israeli-Jewish struggle for a lasting peace. Should we Americans, or the people of the world allow how Israel treats non-Jewish people and other nations... killing them, destroying their homes, taking over their land, and placing them in slavery, like how Palestinians have been treated last 60 years?

The chance for creating a two state solution is dead. I suggest that only as one nation, Federal State of Israel-Palestine, the peace may endure. We, Americans, have failed to see the both side of the struggle for a lasting peace. As Semitic people, they have common historical and religious heritage.

Those who advocate one-state solution as a Federal State would also suggest Jerusalem as the capital of the Federation.

Friday, November 6, 2009

Israel and Iran: Nuclear Disarmament and Foreign Policy

Saint Michael Traveler

The national security is the driving force for Iran. If security is good for Israel, then, it is also good for Turks, Persians and Arabs.

Israel is the only nuclear bomb state in the Middle East. A nuclear bomb free Middle East will remove pressure from all the other nations, including Iran to develop nuclear bomb in the future for deterrence against Israeli's nuclear bombs.

Soviet Union had to develop the nuclear bomb because USA had already developed nuclear bomb and we (President Truman) were making sure the Russians knew it. India, China and Pakistan developed the nuclear bomb because the other nations, i.e. India and China, Pakistan and India, used the bomb as deterrence against the other. Israel developed the bomb because of her fear of the Arabs; Iran was a friend and collaborator of Israel at the time. Now, Israel demands that she must be the only nation in the region to have the nuclear bomb.

President Truman said:
"Starting an atomic war is totally unthinkable for rational men."
[Truman, public Papers]

Let us create a win-win situation for all of the nations in the Middle East. The nuclear disarmament must start somewhere, where to start? I suggest the following three steps to correct our failed foreign policy with respect to the Middle East:

1. Nuclear Fuel Cycle Iranian Consortium:
USA should join the Iranian nuclear fuel consortium. The other nation may include Japan, Germany, France, Russia and England to actively monitor the Iranian fuel cycle activity. IAEA has consistently asserted that the agency could not find any indications that Iran is diverting the fuel cycle for nuclear bomb development. Iran has asserted that their activities are limited to development of fuel for nuclear reactor.

2. Nuclear Shield:
An international nuclear shield for all nations in the Middle East, including Iran, Israel, Turkey and all the Arab nations in the region.

3. A nuclear- bomb-free Middle East:
This action will remove any pressure from Iran to develop nuclear bomb in the future for deterrence against nuclear bomb Israeli state.

We and our representatives in the Congress must stop the hideous play of hypocrisy and face the facts in the Middle East, Israel has nuclear bombs. For almost 50 years we have been playing this game of patsy to Israel and her demands. We must place our national interest above those of Israel and recognize that we must be fair in dealing with all the nations in the region.

The United States must be the international leader for Nuclear Disarmament; Mr. President Obama I suggest we should start with Israel.